Assessing vulnerabilities to disaster displacement: a good practice review

Predictive models have great potential for forecasting population displacements from climatic and other disasters. But disaster displacement risk assessment approaches often use probabilistic models and big data analysis to make global-level predictions, which have limited utility for planning and delivering local interventions that address vulnerable people’s specific needs. This paper reviews current practice for analysing and assessing disaster displacement risks and presents recommendations on how to effectively integrate a detailed vulnerability analysis to improve operational decision making. This good practice review builds on UNDRR’s work to support stakeholders in the Horn of Africa to better integrate vulnerability, resilience and adaptive capacity into displacement risk assessments.